Simulation of mortality modeling
| Order ID |
53563633773 |
| Type |
Essay |
| Writer Level |
Masters |
| Style |
APA |
| Sources/References |
4 |
| Perfect Number of Pages to Order |
5-10 Pages |
Description/Paper Instructions
Simulation of mortality modeling
Mortality modeling is a statistical technique used to predict the probability of death for a population or individual. It is used in a variety of settings, including public health, insurance, and finance.
There are two main types of mortality modeling: deterministic and stochastic. Deterministic models assume that the probability of death is a fixed function of age. Stochastic models, on the other hand, allow for the possibility of random variation in mortality.
Simulation is a technique that can be used to improve the accuracy of mortality models. By simulating the effects of different factors on mortality, it is possible to assess the uncertainty in the model’s predictions.
There are a number of different ways to simulate mortality. One common approach is to use a Monte Carlo simulation. In a Monte Carlo simulation, a large number of random samples are generated from the model’s probability distribution. The results of these samples are then used to estimate the model’s predictions.
Another approach to simulating mortality is to use a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. In an MCMC simulation, a Markov chain is used to generate a sequence of states that represents the evolution of the population over time. The probability of transitioning from one state to another is determined by the model’s parameters.
The choice of simulation method depends on the specific application. Monte Carlo simulations are often used for relatively simple models, while MCMC simulations are more suitable for complex models.
Once a simulation model has been developed, it can be used to assess the uncertainty in the model’s predictions. This information can be used to make better decisions about public health interventions, insurance policies, and financial investments.
For example, a mortality model could be used to predict the number of deaths from a particular disease. The model could then be simulated to assess the uncertainty in these predictions. This information could be used to decide how much money to spend on prevention and treatment programs.
Mortality modeling is a powerful tool that can be used to improve our understanding of death and dying. By simulating mortality, we can better assess the uncertainty in our predictions and make better decisions about how to allocate resources.
Here are some additional details about the simulation of mortality modeling:
The simulation model is typically based on a set of assumptions about the factors that affect mortality. These factors may include age, sex, race, socioeconomic status, and health status.
The simulation model is used to generate a population of individuals. The characteristics of each individual are determined by the model’s assumptions.
The simulation model then tracks the mortality of the population over time. The model records the number of deaths that occur, as well as the causes of death.
The simulation model can be used to assess the uncertainty in the model’s predictions. This is done by running the model multiple times with different sets of random numbers. The results of the different runs are then used to estimate the range of possible outcomes.
The simulation of mortality modeling is a complex and challenging task. However, it is a valuable tool that can be used to improve our understanding of death and dying. By simulating mortality, we can better assess the uncertainty in our predictions and make better decisions about how to allocate resources
Simulation of mortality modeling
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| Content (worth a maximum of 50% of the total points) |
Zero points: Student failed to submit the final paper. |
20 points out of 50: The essay illustrates poor understanding of the relevant material by failing to address or incorrectly addressing the relevant content; failing to identify or inaccurately explaining/defining key concepts/ideas; ignoring or incorrectly explaining key points/claims and the reasoning behind them; and/or incorrectly or inappropriately using terminology; and elements of the response are lacking. |
30 points out of 50: The essay illustrates a rudimentary understanding of the relevant material by mentioning but not full explaining the relevant content; identifying some of the key concepts/ideas though failing to fully or accurately explain many of them; using terminology, though sometimes inaccurately or inappropriately; and/or incorporating some key claims/points but failing to explain the reasoning behind them or doing so inaccurately. Elements of the required response may also be lacking. |
40 points out of 50: The essay illustrates solid understanding of the relevant material by correctly addressing most of the relevant content; identifying and explaining most of the key concepts/ideas; using correct terminology; explaining the reasoning behind most of the key points/claims; and/or where necessary or useful, substantiating some points with accurate examples. The answer is complete. |
50 points: The essay illustrates exemplary understanding of the relevant material by thoroughly and correctly addressing the relevant content; identifying and explaining all of the key concepts/ideas; using correct terminology explaining the reasoning behind key points/claims and substantiating, as necessary/useful, points with several accurate and illuminating examples. No aspects of the required answer are missing. |
| Use of Sources (worth a maximum of 20% of the total points). |
Zero points: Student failed to include citations and/or references. Or the student failed to submit a final paper. |
5 out 20 points: Sources are seldom cited to support statements and/or format of citations are not recognizable as APA 6th Edition format. There are major errors in the formation of the references and citations. And/or there is a major reliance on highly questionable. The Student fails to provide an adequate synthesis of research collected for the paper. |
10 out 20 points: References to scholarly sources are occasionally given; many statements seem unsubstantiated. Frequent errors in APA 6th Edition format, leaving the reader confused about the source of the information. There are significant errors of the formation in the references and citations. And/or there is a significant use of highly questionable sources. |
15 out 20 points: Credible Scholarly sources are used effectively support claims and are, for the most part, clear and fairly represented. APA 6th Edition is used with only a few minor errors. There are minor errors in reference and/or citations. And/or there is some use of questionable sources. |
20 points: Credible scholarly sources are used to give compelling evidence to support claims and are clearly and fairly represented. APA 6th Edition format is used accurately and consistently. The student uses above the maximum required references in the development of the assignment. |
| Grammar (worth maximum of 20% of total points) |
Zero points: Student failed to submit the final paper. |
5 points out of 20: The paper does not communicate ideas/points clearly due to inappropriate use of terminology and vague language; thoughts and sentences are disjointed or incomprehensible; organization lacking; and/or numerous grammatical, spelling/punctuation errors |
10 points out 20: The paper is often unclear and difficult to follow due to some inappropriate terminology and/or vague language; ideas may be fragmented, wandering and/or repetitive; poor organization; and/or some grammatical, spelling, punctuation errors |
15 points out of 20: The paper is mostly clear as a result of appropriate use of terminology and minimal vagueness; no tangents and no repetition; fairly good organization; almost perfect grammar, spelling, punctuation, and word usage. |
20 points: The paper is clear, concise, and a pleasure to read as a result of appropriate and precise use of terminology; total coherence of thoughts and presentation and logical organization; and the essay is error free. |
| Structure of the Paper (worth 10% of total points) |
Zero points: Student failed to submit the final paper. |
3 points out of 10: Student needs to develop better formatting skills. The paper omits significant structural elements required for and APA 6th edition paper. Formatting of the paper has major flaws. The paper does not conform to APA 6th edition requirements whatsoever. |
5 points out of 10: Appearance of final paper demonstrates the student’s limited ability to format the paper. There are significant errors in formatting and/or the total omission of major components of an APA 6th edition paper. They can include the omission of the cover page, abstract, and page numbers. Additionally the page has major formatting issues with spacing or paragraph formation. Font size might not conform to size requirements. The student also significantly writes too large or too short of and paper |
7 points out of 10: Research paper presents an above-average use of formatting skills. The paper has slight errors within the paper. This can include small errors or omissions with the cover page, abstract, page number, and headers. There could be also slight formatting issues with the document spacing or the font Additionally the paper might slightly exceed or undershoot the specific number of required written pages for the assignment. |
10 points: Student provides a high-caliber, formatted paper. This includes an APA 6th edition cover page, abstract, page number, headers and is double spaced in 12’ Times Roman Font. Additionally, the paper conforms to the specific number of required written pages and neither goes over or under the specified length of the paper. |
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